BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20251127T230240EST-4774AmmITe@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20251128T040240Z DESCRIPTION:Title: Uncertainty quantification for black-box models with con ditional guarantees\n\nAbstract:\n\nA central problem in the uncertainty q uantification literature is designing methods that are both distribution-f ree and individualized to the test sample at hand. Prior work has shown th at it is impossible to achieve finite-sample conditional validity without modelling assumptions. Thus\, canonical methods in\, e.g.\, the conformal inference literature\, typically only issue marginal guarantees over a ran dom draw of the test covariates. In this talk\, I will outline a framework that bridges this gap by recasting the conditional objective as a set of robustness criteria over a class of covariate shifts. By relaxing the targ et class of covariate shifts\, I will define a spectrum of problems that r ange between marginal and exact conditional validity and give methods that provide precise guarantees in between these extremes. This framework has broad applications and I will show how it can be used to construct predict ion sets around the outputs of black-box regression models and filter out false information from the responses of large language models. This talk i s based on joint work with John Cherian and Emmanuel Candès.\n\n🔗 Zoom: ht tps://mcgill.zoom.us/j/85280629047\n DTSTART:20251203T163000Z DTEND:20251203T173000Z LOCATION:Room 1104\, Burnside Hall\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 0B9\, 805 rue Sherbrooke Ouest SUMMARY:Isaac Gibbs (University of California\, Berkley) URL:/sustainability/channels/event/isaac-gibbs-univers ity-california-berkley-369347 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR