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UID:20250812T154200EDT-21421zUotX@132.216.98.100
DTSTAMP:20250812T194200Z
DESCRIPTION:Title:聽Is there a limit to human longevity?\n\nAbstract:聽There 
 is sustained and widespread interest in understanding the limit\, if there
  is any\, to the human lifespan. Mathematically\, the question amounts to 
 determining whether the endpoint of the underlying lifetime distribution i
 s finite. Recent analyses of data on the oldest human lifetimes have led t
 o competing claims about survival and to some controversy\, due in part to
  incorrect statistical analysis. We provide a critical assessment of some 
 earlier work and illustrate the ideas through reanalysis of semi-supercent
 enarian lifetime data\, focusing on data quality and sampling schemes\, ch
 oice of suitable statistical models and adequate extrapolation schemes. Us
 ing a blend of survival analysis and extreme value theory\, we highlight s
 ome of the conclusions that can be reasonably reached based on the limited
  records: although the rate of mortality stabilize around 109 years or so\
 , the hazard is very high with a nearly 50% probability of dying in any gi
 ven year. Our analysis suggests that a limit to human lifespan would be mu
 ch beyond the range of the records and there is reasonable power to detect
  a limit below 130 years.\n	\n	https://lbelzile.bitbucket.io/\n\nWeb site :聽
 /epi-biostat-occh/seminars-events/seminars/biostatist
 ics\n
DTSTART:20230215T203000Z
DTEND:20230215T213000Z
LOCATION:Room 1203\, 9I制作厂免费 College 2001\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 1G1\, 2
 001\, avenue 9I制作厂免费 College
SUMMARY:L茅o Belzile\, HEC Montr茅al
URL:/mathstat/channels/event/leo-belzile-hec-montreal-
 345752
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