BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250915T195256EDT-5283AeUhn2@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250915T235256Z DESCRIPTION:Title: Off-Policy Confidence Interval Estimation with Confounde d Markov Decision Process.\n\n\n Abstract:\n\n\nIn this talk\, we consider constructing a confidence interval for a target policy’s value offline bas ed on pre-collected observational data in infinite horizon settings. Most of the existing works assume no unmeasured variables exist that confound t he observed actions. This assumption\, however\, is likely to be violated in real applications such as healthcare and technological industries. We s how that with some auxiliary variables that mediate the effect of actions on the system dynamics\, the target policy’s value is identifiable in a co nfounded Markov decision process. Based on this result\, we develop an eff icient off-policy value estimator that is robust to potential model misspe cification and provides rigorous uncertainty quantification.\n\n\n Speaker \n\n\nDr. Rui Song is a Professor of Statistics from the Department of Sta tistics at North Carolina State University. Her current research interests include Machine Learning\, Causal Inference\, Precision Health\, Financia l Econometrics.\n\nhttps://mcgill.zoom.us/j/83436686293?pwd=b0RmWmlXRXE3OW R6NlNIcWF5d0dJQT09\n\nMeeting ID: 834 3668 6293\n\nPasscode: 12345\n\n\n \n  \n  \n \n\n \n  \n \n\n \n  \n \n\n DTSTART:20220204T203000Z DTEND:20220204T213000Z SUMMARY:Rui Song (North Carolina State University) URL:/mathstat/channels/event/rui-song-north-carolina-s tate-university-337373 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR