BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250914T152415EDT-0920AuA0Rj@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250914T192415Z DESCRIPTION:A Geometric Framework for Covariance Dynamics.\n\nThis paper pr oposes a new approach to modeling covariance dynamics by employing methods of differential geometry. Our approach respects intrinsic geometric prope rties of covariance space and allows economically meaningful modeling of c ovariance dynamics. We develop covariance models that utilize either asset returns or realized covariances and propose new parameter estimation and performance evaluation methods. Empirical studies suggest that our models outperform existing models and realized covariance-based models outperform return-based ones. We also show that the time-series variation of a covar iance matrix can be identified by a small number of principal components\, implying potential for a parsimonious specification of covariance dynamic s. This paper is joint work with Frank C. Park (Seoul National University) \n DTSTART:20180323T183000Z DTEND:20180323T193000Z LOCATION:Room LB 921-4\, CA\, Concordia University\, Pavillon J.W. McConnel (Library) SUMMARY:Chulwoo Han\, Durham University URL:/mathstat/channels/event/chulwoo-han-durham-univer sity-285896 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR