BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250916T155747EDT-9835UvUDU0@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250916T195747Z DESCRIPTION:CIREQ Lunch Seminar: Shaimaa Yassin \n\n'Correcting Measurement Errors in Transition Models Based on Retrospective Panel Data'\n (Co-Autho red with François Langot)\n\nAbstract:\n This paper offers a method to corr ect for measurement errors that could arise when estimating transition rat es and stocks relying on retrospective panels. A dynamic n-state transitio n model is built to allow for the correction of errors in both transitions and stocks\, when very little auxiliary information is available\, over a long period of time\, and taking into consideration the macroeconomic cyc lical fluctuations. The method is particularly useful for the assessment o f labor market dynamics in developing countries where frequent data collec tion is costly and recalled information raise to be the only candidate for these research purposes. It is sufficient to have validation population m oments for only one point in time to estimate the measurement errors in ou r model. Using a Simulated Method of Moments\, a transition- and time-spec ific correction matrix is estimated\, to correct both labor market flows a nd stocks\, in a biased retrospective panel. Recalled and validation data on workers' flows and stocks from Egypt are used to show the significance and robustness of our correction method. A reform evaluation application i s also used to show the significance of maintaining the cyclical informati on in the data by relying on a dynamic transition model.\n\n \n\n \n DTSTART:20190917T160000Z DTEND:20190917T170000Z LOCATION:Leacock 429\, Leacock Building\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 2T7\, 85 5 rue Sherbrooke Ouest SUMMARY:CIREQ Lunch Seminar: Shaimaa Yassin\, ''Correcting Measurement Erro rs in Transition Models Based on Retrospective Panel Data' URL:/economics/channels/event/cireq-lunch-seminar-shai maa-yassin-correcting-measurement-errors-transition-models-based-300289 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR